Personnel(ly) Speaking

A Monthly Newsletter from

Personnel Management Systems, Inc.

April 2006

Current Compensation Trends: what’s happening now and what to expect in the future

 

This month we are pleased to have Doug Sayed, SPHR, CCP comment on the current compensation environment.  Founder of Applied HR Strategies, Doug consults with companies on compensation strategies and programs in addition to being one of the leading providers of pay data to technology companies.

 

Our labor markets are very healthy - recently released data for March 2006 shows that the Washington State labor market has continued improving from an already solid year in 2005.  Overall, employment is up nicely, +3.3% in the past year.  The Seattle area labor market is coming back strongly too, with job growth up 4.0% in King County.  Despite the robust data, total employment in the Seattle area remains about 5,800 jobs below the areas’ peak employment in December 2000.

 

According to the Metro Denver Development Corporation, that area added 26,100 net new jobs in 2005, a 2% growth over the previous year. About half the jobs lost in the 2002-2003 recession were added back in 2004 and 2005, and per capita income in the area is growing faster than the national average.  

 

Overall, in March 2006 the national unemployment rate was 4.7%, with Washington and Colorado at 4.6% and 4.3%, respectively, as recorded by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

 

Technology, accounting and finance jobs are hot – technology sector job demand and growth is quite healthy, with employment for software publishers up 8.0% year-over-year based on preliminary March data.  Demand for software engineers in particular is quite high.  Earlier this year the Washington State Department of Employment Security reported that there were more job openings for software engineers than for any other job category, outstripping far larger job categories such as nursing. 

 

While many technology jobs are hot, so is the demand for middle to upper level accounting and finance professionals and managers.  This once placid job category has heated up in today’s post Sarbanes-Oxley and post-Enron environment.  In addition, tougher compliance demands, stock option expensing, and a greater emphasis on financial reporting accuracy and transparency have placed a premium on professionals with deep financial compliance, planning and analysis skills.

 

Merit pay trends flat - The WorldatWork 2005 – 2006 Salary Budget Survey Update projects a 3.5% pay increase for exempt employees in 2006, up very slightly (+0.1%) from the actual 2005 data, but virtually unchanged from the past few years.  Merit pay remains at historically low levels, despite positive economic growth for the three years and counting.  Most national data shows 2004 and 2005 actual merit data near 20 year lows – in the vicinity of 3.4%-3.5%, and projections for 2006 show virtually the same thing.

 

Stock option expensing goes into effect and the sky doesn’t fall – after a bruising but lost battle over stock option expensing, technology companies (like everyone else) will now have to expense the “fair value” of their stock option grants.  FAS 123R (Financial Accounting Standards, Rule 123, revised) went into effect starting with fiscal years beginning on or after January 1.   Early in the battle over stock option expensing, lobbyists and other pundits predicted lower stock prices, lost jobs and worse, but none of these have happened.  A recent article in the Wall Street Journal entitled “Tech Companies Give Stock-Options Value and Actually Survive,” states that now that expensing is in effect and occurring, “the reaction is mostly a shrug.”

 

Stock option usage continues to decline – several events, trends and indicators continue signaling a reduction in the use of stock options.  Some recent studies have shown a roughly 30-40% decline in the number of options granted from the peak period 1999-2001. There is a trend toward reducing both the amount of stock given, as well as a reduction in eligibility for stock options.  Data from the current survey shows that over one-third (35%) of all participants (and a majority of public companies) have reduced the number of stock options offered to the workforce in the past year. Many factors are impacting these changes, and they are developing slowly, but clearly, nonetheless.

 

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All in all, the economic outlook is good although employers may find it more difficult to fill open positions.  For help with your company’s compensation problems or even if you just have questions, you can call either Personnel Management Systems, Inc. at (425) 576-1900 or Applied HR Strategies at (425) 827-3881.

 

 

Personnel(ly) Speaking is a monthly comment on HR issues of importance.  It is intended to provide general information and must not be construed as legal advice.  Reproductions are allowed as long as credit for this information is given to PMSI.  We welcome your comments, questions, and concerns.  © PERSONNEL MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS, INC., Corporate Office (425) 576-1900, Colorado Office (720) 497-0200, www.hrpmsi.com.